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WEATHER: A SWELL WEEKEND

A succession of fast-moving fronts, and now an intense low in the Tasman, is generating a solid swell pummeling the New South Wales coast. The swell is going to remain big across the weekend. Winds have been quite favourable to produce some epic surfing conditions, but strong rips and huge sets are making for dangerous conditions. The weather is looking pretty good. The risk of showers is going to to remain on the small side for the northern New South Wales coast, so most of the broadcast region can expect a fine, mostly sunny weekend.

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WEATHER: AUTUMN AWESOMENESS

This is my favourite time of the year and the first week of March is living up to expectations. Mornings have been cool and the days sunny and warm. The only catch is, it’s getting hotter inland, exacerbating the drought situation. An early Autumn heatwave is unfolding across the nation’s interior and some of that heat is spilling across the North West. It’s also affecting inland areas such as the Upper Hunter and cities like Taree, Kempsey and Grafton. The coast will be fanned by gusty afternoon seabreezes. Ocean temperatures are warm so it’s great for a swim. The fine run should continue for most of the week.

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WEATHER: COASTAL CLOUD TO BURN OFF

The southerly change that triggered a big line of severe storms yesterday pumped in plenty of cloud today that has wedged in between the mountains and the coast. Inland it is still sunny and hot. Along the coast tomorrow the cloud cover will burn off making for a fine Tuesday. There’s plenty of heat so expect the mercury to go on the rise quickly.

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WEATHER: FINAL WEEKEND OF SUMMER LOOKING GOOD

It’s heating up across the Hunter, North West and Mid North Coast tomorrow, with north-westerly to north-easterly winds getting strong on the coast. The chance of showers for the Northern Rivers and south east Queensland will be small so it will be mostly fine until afternoon storms fire up along the northern New South Wales ranges. On Sunday, a change will be moving in and this is likely to trigger showers and storms for the Hunter and North West around Tamworth, before spreading further north during the afternoon. Swell is abating so it will be small for surfers but good for boaties.

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WEATHER: A LITTLE STORM ACTION

A line of storms flared up this afternoon, stretching from the Upper Hunter along the ranges to New England and the border. They moved over the slopes and reached parts of the coast. We’re expecting more shower and storm development tomorrow, particularly around the ranges. Conditions will clear to kick start the weekend. A change is on the way for Sunday which will trigger more wet weather to close the weekend in the Hunter before spreading north.

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WEATHER: A LITTLE INLAND RAIN IS ON THE WAY

The inland areas of the North West are still very dry and the major catchments are very low, so rain of any kind is welcome out west and there is some on the way. Afternoon showers and storms are going to become a feature across the region in the coming days. That’s thanks to a stalled inland trough that is feeding off very consistent onshore winds, which have been creating partly cloudy skies and scattered showers along the coast over the next few days. Rain totals won’t be big and there’ll be no impact on the major catchments, but it will help with current crops in the ground.

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WEATHER: STILL VERY DRY INLAND

The weekend deluge has helped ease conditions across the Clarence Valley and around Casino in the Northern Rivers after a prolonged dry spell. The excessive rain in south east Queensland may trigger a Ross River outbreak with mosquito numbers expected to swell, but the inland areas of the North West remain very dry. They received some good rain at the beginning of the year, which helped increase top soil moisture, but sub soil remained dry. There is a little rain on the way for the North West for the second half of the week. The coast will see more showers and high humidity levels thanks to the consistent onshore winds.

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WEATHER: MARCIA, MARCIA, MARCIA!

Cyclone Marcia is closing in on the Queensland coast tonight, and is expected to cross between Rockhampton and Mackay. There is an associated trough stretching south and this is expected to cause all the problems for south east Queensland and north east New South Wales. The rain will start to increase across these regions from tonight and the next two days will see heavy down pours increase to the point where flooding is likely. Winds are continuing to build and so the swell combining with the biggest tides of the year to date. Coastal inundation and erosion is also expected. Along that trough another low is expected to form in the Tasman which will generate increased swell over the weekend.

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WEATHER: CYCLONE MAY COME DOWN THE COAST

There are numerous lows forming along the monsoon trough at the moment, one of them may become a concern to us later in the week. The low in the Coral Sea may head south affecting the south east Queensland coast around Thursday and the northern New South Wales coast by the weekend. These systems have an unpredictable nature so it is a system we have to watch closely. If the low heads south, it will bring with it a large amount of rain that would have the potential to cause flooding. Sea surface temperatures are very warm at the moment and that will help maintain the strength of the storm if it does head south. I’ll check the development of this system every day, so stay tuned, we may have to prepare for this one in the coming days.

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WEATHER: COASTAL SHOWERS EASING

The northern New South Wales coast and south east Queensland has had a consistent run of showers, with some heavy localised falls. This shower activity is going to ease across the weekend. The onshore winds will still be with us, making for more humid days and nights. The Hunter has seen a few small showers and the occasional storm. It should be predominantly fine across the region this weekend, with the chance of shower development on the small side. Still warm and dry inland across the North West and Plains. A moderate swell for surfers – southern corners in the north and northern corners in the south the tip. Moderate seas and swell for boating.

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